Today's economic updates bring a series of disappointing news. Japan's economy unexpectedly contracted in Q4 23, marking its second consecutive quarterly decline. Australia's job growth fell short of expectations, leading to a rise in unemployment to 4.1%. Similarly, the UK's economy saw a larger-than-expected contraction in the same quarter.
This resulted in a strengthening yen and a brief dip of the dollar below JPY 150. Although the Australian dollar initially dipped, it managed to recover. However, sterling remained weak, being the sole G10 currency trading lower in the European morning.
Gold saw a decline to almost $1984, a two-month low, but has stabilized since, although still below $2000.
April WTI experienced a bearish outside day, with concerns over rising US inventories and weak demand pushing prices back towards the week's low set on Monday near $75.50.
Asia Pacific
Japan's economy shrank by 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, contrasting sharply with expectations of a 1.1% expansion, with both consumption and business investment contracting again.
Australia also faced disappointment, with the labor market barely stabilizing after significant job losses in December.
The Australian dollar saw fluctuations but ultimately recovered during the European morning.
Europe
The UK reported a 0.3% contraction in Q4 23, slightly exceeding expectations, with declines observed in consumption, exports, and government spending.
The euro saw a slight increase in value, while sterling remained subdued against the dollar.
America
Despite robust job growth and increased hourly earnings in January, there is concern regarding the strength of retail sales, potentially influenced by a decline in auto sales. Furthermore, retail gasoline prices in the US continued to decrease for the fourth consecutive month. Excluding autos and gasoline, forecasts suggest a modest 0.2% increase in retail sales.
These developments present challenges for financial analysts evaluating the current economic landscape.