US Market - Overview as of 03.07.2025

Financial and commodity markets analytics


After a new day of growth in U.S. indices the day before, Asian markets on Thursday moved with restraint: investors held their breath waiting for the report on employment in the United States, which may determine the direction of the Fed's monetary policy. The unemployment rate is expected to rise to 4.3%. Private sector data reflected the first decline in employment in two years, causing alarm. If the official report confirms the weakness of the labor market, the probability of a Fed rate cut in July will rise sharply, triggering a rise in Treasuries and a weaker dollar, which could push US indices to new highs. Already, yields on 10-year and two-year securities have fallen. Amid criticism from Trump and pressure on the Fed chief, markets are wary and sensitive to any deviations in the data.